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GOP sweeps Virginia elections
Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Republicans swept Virginia's statewide elections Tuesday, with gubernatorial candidate Bob McDonnell leading his party's ticket to victory up and down the ballot and scoring an early win for the national GOP.

McDonnell, a former state attorney general, won a decisive victory over Democratic state Sen. Creigh Deeds, bringing an end to eight years of Democratic control of the governor's office in Richmond and breaking a series of disappointing elections for Virginia Republicans.

Just a year after President Obama won the state's electoral votes for the Democratic Party for the first time in 44 years, McDonnell, incumbent Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling and Republican attorney general candidate Ken Cuccinelli were elected easily over their Democratic opponents.

Network exit polls showed a starkly different electorate went to the polls in Virginia Tuesday than the one that elected President Barack Obama in 2008. The proportion of voters under 30 dropped from 21 percent in 2008 to 10 percent today. Just 15 percent of the Virginia electorate was black this year, compared with 20 percent last year.

The Virginia governor's race was one of three closely fought elections unfolding Tuesday night. Along with New Jersey's gubernatorial campaign and a special congressional race in upstate New York, the Virginia contest has been closely watched for insight into the mood of the country, a year after President Barack Obama's election last November.

Polls closed in New Jersey at 8 p.m., where incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine has been locked in a close battle for reelection against Republican prosecutor Chris Christie. The two have been trading leads within the margin of error for weeks.

In a third contest - a special congressional election in New York's 23rd district - Democratic House candidate Bill Owens appeared to be lagging Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman in polling and turnout Tuesday. If the GOP sweeps all three elections Tuesday, it could be considered a sign of rising voter discontent with the Democratic Party's performance in Washington.

The White House played down the importance of all three contests Tuesday, with spokesman Robert Gibbs urging reporters not to read the evening's returns as a referendum on the president and his party.

"I don't think, looking at the two gubernatorial races, you can draw with any great insight what's going to happen a year from now," Gibbs said.

Tuesday evening, the president's spokesman told POLITICO Obama wasn't following the results tonight closely, explaining: "He's not watching returns."

Early exit polling reported by CNN Tuesday evening suggested voters were not intentionally trying to send message to the White House with their ballots: 55 percent of voters in Virginia and 60 percent of voters in New Jersey said their feelings toward the president did not weigh on their decision.

Among the remaining respondents, there was a close to even split between voters who said they were trying to support the president with their vote and those who were trying to rebuke him. In Virginia, 18 percent said they were trying to send the Obama administration a positive message, compared with 24 percent who said the opposite. In New Jersey, those numbers were 19 and 20 percent, respectively.

But House Minority Whip Eric Cantor (R-Va.), told McDonnell supporters in Richmond that they had sent a message to national politicians: "Enough with the incredible reach of government into our lives."

"Bob McDonnell has led us to victory after eight dark years in the wilderness," Cantor said, praising the governor-elect for running a kitchen-table campaign focused on economic issues: "You know what's so great: Bob ran a great campaign, but it was also a positive campaign."

Leading figures from both parties have hit the campaign trail in recent days in all three key elections, including Vice President Biden, who stumped in New York 23rd congressional district for Democrat Bill Owens on Monday, and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, who appeared later in the day for Owens's opponent, Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman.

Speaking with POLITICO Tuesday, Hoffman painted his bid for Congress as the first stage of a national campaign to return Congress to conservative hands.

"Hopefully the Republican party, of which I'm a lifelong member, utilizes this energy and excitement of people coming to my support because we'll need it in 2010," he said. "We're just standing up for the core values that made America strong -- less government, less taxes, less spending."

Hoffman has led in the most recent polling, with leads ranging from between five and 17 points, but Republican Dede Scozzafava's withdrawal from the election last weekend and subsequent endorsement of Owens has left the race a question mark.

On Sunday, Obama made the latest in a series of visits to New Jersey in support of incumbent Gov. Jon Corzine, whose contest with Republican prosecutor Chris Christie has been within the margin of error for weeks. Christie, meanwhile, has called in high-profile Republicans including former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty.

During his last campaign stop in Morris County Tuesday, Christie predicted a victory for his party in the Garden State and told volunteers at his local headquarters: "We're winning this thing."

In a nod to the tightness of his matchup with Corzine, Christie emphasized the importance of turnout and told supporters participation was "very good" across "areas of the state that we're going to do well in."

A third candidate, Chris Daggett, has injected a level of uncertainty into the New Jersey race by drawing off a number of disaffected independent voters, though his polling numbers have fallen from the teens into the mid-to-high single digits. Whether Daggett can hold on to his voters -- or whether they break for either of the major party candidates -- could decide the election.

CNN's early exit poll reported that the New Jersey race reflected a higher level of concern with local issue than the campaign in Virginia, with 26 percent of voters saying property taxes were the main issue on their minds and 20 percent expressing the gravest concern with the state's chronic political corruption.

National issues played a role in both contests, however. A plurality of voters in both states - 46 percent in Virginia and 31 percent in New Jersey - said the economy was the most important issue to them. And for voters in both gubernatorial contests, health care ranked high among the list of issues voters said they were thinking about, with 25 percent in Virginia and 18 percent in New Jersey calling it their top concern.

In a sign of Democratic anxiety going into today's vote, both Corzine and Deeds told television interviewers to disregard recent surveys that placed them behind their opponents.

"The only poll that counts is the one that's going on right now," Corzine said, deploying a familiar line Deeds also used.

Corzine voted Tuesday morning in Hoboken before heading out on a last swing that ends in East Brunswick for an election-night rally. Christie is gathering his supporters at the Parsippany Hilton to await the voters' decision.

In New York, Owens and Hoffman held competing events in Plattsburgh, one of the largely rural district's few population centers. Hoffman stopped at Plattsburgh City Hall for an event with Mayor Donald Kasprzak while Owens met with workers at the Clinton County Correctional facility and visited volunteers in the Plattsburgh field office.

"I certainly am confident in the election today. I think our message has gotten out, is resonating with people and we believe we are going to move forward," Owens told POLITICO after voting Tuesday morning.

Democratic officials in Owens's home base of Clinton County expressed concern Tuesday afternoon that turnout may not be keeping pace in the Democratic candidate's strongest areas.

Owens will spend the evening in Plattsburgh, addressing supporters at the American Legion there. Hoffman heads to Saranac Lake for an rally at the Hotel Saranac.

post-gazette.com is a member of the Politico Network
First published on November 4, 2009 at 12:00 am
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